Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.092343 0.144967 0.207594 0.284979 0.375778 0.477065 0.596867
2026-01-04 0.033006 0.091129 0.177242 0.298906 0.455499 0.642137 0.874388
2026-01-11 0.015361 0.073424 0.175321 0.331343 0.541998 0.800964 1.130418
2026-01-18 0.005289 0.058008 0.170291 0.355478 0.615686 0.943440 1.367417
2026-01-25 0.000355 0.040330 0.154038 0.358385 0.657730 1.043954 1.551588
2026-02-01 NaN 0.020367 0.122567 0.331298 0.654215 1.083358 1.658156
2026-02-08 NaN 0.006802 0.091192 0.296345 0.634214 1.097579 1.730287
2026-02-15 NaN 0.002012 0.075922 0.285330 0.646491 1.152651 1.852707
2026-02-22 NaN 0.000547 0.070314 0.291292 0.683770 1.241126 2.017882
2026-03-01 NaN NaN 0.061344 0.288076 0.705594 1.307830 2.154580
2026-03-08 NaN NaN 0.048148 0.271760 0.704532 1.341643 2.247603
2026-03-15 NaN NaN 0.051744 0.296046 0.770530 1.470028 2.465461
2026-03-22 NaN NaN 0.055089 0.321302 0.840910 1.608433 2.701840
2026-03-29 NaN NaN 0.053800 0.334743 0.892157 1.720820 2.905426
2026-04-05 NaN NaN 0.060567 0.369561 0.979636 1.884857 3.177578
2026-04-12 NaN NaN 0.063791 0.395042 1.051499 2.026954 3.421064
2026-04-19 NaN NaN 0.058876 0.398145 1.085212 2.114657 3.592492
2026-04-26 NaN NaN 0.043929 0.369435 1.062675 2.120796 3.654721
2026-05-03 NaN NaN 0.028854 0.332305 1.022000 2.098615 3.677463
2026-05-10 NaN NaN 0.022495 0.320579 1.025337 2.139712 3.784537
2026-05-17 NaN NaN 0.020931 0.326927 1.062000 2.230184 3.958759
2026-05-24 NaN NaN 0.017430 0.323504 1.079892 2.292534 4.094660
2026-05-31 NaN NaN 0.011827 0.306116 1.069961 2.312558 4.172329